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My friend Dan is a staffer for a software company. I asked him recently what he was working on. He told me he invests the majority of his time on a project to change the way his company licenses its software.
As soon as I heard the words, "software," "licensing," and "change,"
I was hooked. I had grappled with a similar change for one of my
clients. I was curious to hear whether Dan was experiencing a pattern
that I had seen with my client's organization.
We talked about whether executives imposed a "revenue neutral"
constraint on his work. That term means that regardless of specific
changes in licensing, the amount of revenue the organization receives
is the same as what they receive now. Dan told me that his company uses
the term "revenue agnostic" rather than "revenue neutral." But he said
the concept was the same.
In addition to revenue, in my experience, executives are also
concerned how the change would impact their customers. Typically
executives require that any change not disturb customer satisfaction.
Dan said that customer satisfaction was a concern. He said his
executive was also concerned about how revenue change would affect the
various parts of the organization. Dan's comment reminded me that my
client had a similar concern.
So there are three constraints:
- revenue neutrality
- maintain customer satisfaction
- maintain the
satisfaction of the company's divisions
A simple and totally
reasonable set of constraints? They are reasonable. But are they
effective? No, in my experience, they are ineffective.
Let's construct an analogy so we can test:
Imagine
that for the past thirty years you had been charged for all your home's
utilities -- gas, electric, water, garbage, sewer, and so on -- by the
total square footage of your home. The billing system uses a linear
scale, the more the square footage of your house, the more you pay. For
instance, a 2,500 square foot house pays $600 for utilities and a 5,000
square foot house pays $1,200.
After years of complaints from
home owners of every size house about the inequity of the charges, the
local government decides to change how they charge -- they will charge you for resource consumption. You will be charged separately for gas,
electric, water and so on.
The heads of the local government impose the three constrains on the planners.
Can
the planners create a new billing system that is revenue neutral? They
may be able to do it for the first billing cycle, provided the
customers stay in the same pattern of usage. But once most customers
see measurements about resource consumption, they will change their
behavior, which will change their consumption pattern. So, long-term,
the planners cannot maintain revenue neutrality. Can they predict how
much revenue may change? Yes, as long as they don't have to be right.
Would
you, the customer, be pleased with the new system? Let's look at your
neighbor, Jane, with a 2,500 square foot house. Jane did nothing to
change her resource consumption and rather than receiving a bill for
$600, she receives a bill for $400. Is she pleased? You bet. On the
other hand, your neighbor, Stan, with another 2,500 square foot house,
like Jane, doesn't change his pattern of resource consumption but he
receives a bill for $800. Is he pleased? No way. There are also homeowners who aren't effected by the change. Their bill will be about
the same as it was before.
Some people in the community are winners (they pay less than before). Other people are losers (they pay more than before). And some people aren't effected (they pay the same as they did before). In my experience, that's the way it always is with a change to a billing system.
Back to revenue neutrality for a moment, Stan's
resource consumption was being subsidized by other rate payers. If the
$200 difference is significant to Stan, he may choose to lower his
resource consumption so he doesn't have to pay as much.
Any change in
behavior by Stan or anyone like him will change the revenue stream. Until the pattern of resource consumption
stabilizes at a new level, I don't know any way to precisely predict
what the total revenue stream will be 6 months after the billing system
is changed. Revenue neutrality isn't sustainable. The revenue stream will change.
Will the utility supplier organizations be pleased
with the new system? Similar to the customers, some organization's will win because their revenue stream increases
and other's will be losers as their revenue stream decline. Again, we will have organizations who will be winners,
others who will be losers and some who aren't effected. The winners will likely be able to add employees and perhaps increase some people's pay packages. The losers will likely have to reduce the number of employees and perhaps reduce some people's pay packages.
I hope you see that it isn't always
possible to create a system that satisfies what look like simple and
reasonable requirements.
What can you do about the paradox? I
suggest for any licensing system you decide which customers will be the
winners and which will be the losers. Deciding who will win and who will lose
principle holds for internal organizations. Revenue collection systems
are a messy business and full of politics.
Most importantly, work with someone high enough in your organization who can make decisions rather than recommendations. Changes that impact revenue, customer satisfaction, and the power of internal organizations can only be decided by people at the top of the organization.
Finally, if you worship at
the altar of revenue neutrality, you will only make tiny changes to
your systems so your current state equilibrium isn't disturbed. That may be alright if
only simple tweaks are required. In my experience with billing systems,
that's rarely the case. The systems are preserved too long and they
become so brittle they become the focus of your customers instead of
your products and services.
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